Jobs week ended with an eerie silence, as the government remains shut down and we didn’t receive the last two major reports for the week. Given that job growth has been slowing dramatically this year, it’s time to examine what is really going on. For me, the situation is straightforward: over the past 24 months, […]
What we know about the labor market, even without Jobs Friday data Read More »
Mortgage rates have had a wild ride since Fed Chair Jerome Powell started talking at the Fed press event Wednesday, rising 15 basis points today. However, I think the bond market responded appropriately after the Fed meeting, and on Thursday morning. Why? Even though the Fed lowered rates, the tone of the press conference was
Mortgage rates go wild following Fed rate cut and Powell remarks Read More »
Mortgage rates have reached a new low for 2025, despite the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation being well above the target and showing a stronger increase in the core goods component. Why are mortgage rates at 6.27%? Jobless claims experienced a significant spike today, which suggests that the labor market may not be as strong
Mortgage rates hit new 2025 low as jobless claims spike Read More »
With the next interest rate decision from Federal Reserve monetary policymakers just over a week away, mortgage rates have continued their downward trajectory as many lenders and investors have priced in a cut. But the markets will need to navigate one more inflation report before the Fed’s Sept. 17 meeting. On Tuesday at HousingWire’s Mortgage
Mortgage rate declines are anchored to an expected Fed cut Read More »
The annual job revisions data was released today, which showed that 911,000 jobs that were supposedly created from March 2024 to March 2025 were removed from the books. The estimates were for 818,000 jobs to be lost in this report, so it came in worse than expected. Lower job growth has been a theme recently,
911,000 jobs cut in latest revisions. Is the Fed already too late? Read More »
Mortgage rates reached another new low for 2025 on Thursday morning after a weak ADP jobs report caused bond yields to dip slightly ahead of the significant jobs report that will be released on Friday. Current 30-year fixed mortgage rates are at 6.45% according to Mortgage News Daily, marking an 11-month low. Mortgage rates reached
Mortgage rates drop to 11-month low after weak ADP jobs print Read More »
Mortgage rates decreased slightly on Wednesday morning to a year-to-date low of 6.49% after the job openings data came in below expectations. The key takeaway from this BLS report is that we now have more unemployed workers than job openings. This is significant because the Federal Reserve has traditionally valued job openings data and has
Mortgage rates hit a new 2025 low after soft job openings report Read More »
Will Friday’s jobs report compel Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut rates by 1%, as President Trump suggested on social media today? The answer is no. While the labor market is showing signs of cooling and there are some indications of stress in certain sectors of the economy, today’s report, although it exceeded estimates,
Why Friday’s jobs report won’t compel Powell to cut rates Read More »